The worst-case scenario finally came true as Lithuania resisted pressure from the EU and Germany, resulting in sanctions on Kaliningrad taking effect today, which Moscow sees as a violation of national sovereignty. The deadline expired yesterday on the 10th of the month as WarNews247 had revealed a few days ago.
The Lithuanian authorities have decided to add more fuel to the fire by announcing further restrictions on goods to the Russian enclave which will be gradually escalated.
Time is now running backwards. All the information shows that there will be a Russian response, it can’t be otherwise.
The Russians will implement diplomatic-economic countermeasures, while it is very likely that they will launch electronic warfare attacks on air transport and cyber attacks on Lithuania.
There are recommendations to impose a naval blockade and to remove the recognition of the state borders of Lithuania as we have mentioned.
In general, the situation in the Baltic now resembles preparations for a war zone.
Russia cannot withstand the blockade of Kaliningrad for long as the alternative route is sea transport. But these are additional costs for the citizens of the Russian enclave and for Moscow itself as it implies an increase in the cost of transport and the cost of products for the residents of the region. Subsidies from the state etc. will be needed.
It is now most likely that there will be future military involvement of Russia and Belarus in western Ukraine and again on the side of Kiev in order to pressure Poland and make concessions in the Suwalki Corridor.
The Tribulation is commencing…
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