Putin will ratify the border change on Friday, a decision that will escalate the war and could even lead to the use of nuclear weapons if Ukraine continues to attack territory Moscow now considers Russian.
Now the 4 former regions of Ukraine will be subject to Russia’s nuclear strategic doctrine. Announcing referendums in Ukraine’s Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhia and Kherson regions last week, Putin warned that he would respond with nuclear weapons if the national security of Russia, of which the four former regions will be a part from tomorrow, is threatened of Ukraine.
Afterwards, B. Putin is expected to deliver an ultimatum and demand that the Ukrainian forces withdraw from Donetsk, Zaporizhia as well as stop the attacks on Kherson and Donbass. If the Ukrainians continue, then the specter of a nuclear strike looms dangerously close.
Lugansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhia and Kherson constitute an area of over 90,000 square kilometers and 15% of the territory of the total area of Ukraine. In other words, the territory of the regions incorporated by Putin is equal to the size of Hungary or Portugal and includes about 4 million Russian speakers.
This is the largest annexation of European territory since World War II.
From Lugansk alone, Russia gets five coal mines of the companies Lisichanskugol Mining and Chemical Combine, the Lisichansky oil refinery, the Matrosskaya mine, the rubber factory, from the other regions nuclear plants, hydroelectric dams, the ports in Azov, Mariupol and many others .
Now if Russia goes ahead and captures Kharkiv and Odessa, Ukraine will have lost 95% of its GDP.
We are at a point of no return. The annexation decision commits Putin to defend it in perpetuity and to occupy militarily the territories that while he incorporates he has not brought under his control. It still prevents him from returning land to Ukraine as part of a settlement. And it increases the risk of escalation,” emphasizes Shashank Joshi of the Economist.
Guardian journalist Pjotr Sauer writes:
“Point of no return and a sign that the war will be prolonged. The Kremlin has not yet put its economy on a war footing, which will be easier to enforce when you present the war as a defensive battle for survival.”
Tomorrow at 15.00 Moscow time the signatures
Russian state news agency Tass quoted Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov as saying that the signing ceremony of the agreements in the Russian Federation will take place on Friday at 15:00 Moscow time.
The Russian president will hold the signing ceremony in the Kremlin and is then expected to deliver a speech and meet with Moscow-appointed administrators of Ukrainian regions, Peskov said.
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